Bitcoin could see a 25%-30% sell-off in the new year, but it’s still a long-term buy, trader says – CNBC


Bitcoin’s record rally could hit a wall in 2021.

Signs in the cryptocurrency’s technical chart point to a 25%-30% sell-off that’s likely to hit early in the new year, Miller Tabak chief market strategist Matt Maley told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Thursday.

Bitcoin broke above the $23,000 level for the first time on Thursday, building on a massive, 215% year-to-date rally.

“There’s no question it’s been a melt-up, and it could last a little bit longer,” Maley said. “I think on a short-term basis it could continue a little bit longer, and I’m very bullish on it on a very long-term basis. But intermediate term, I’m a lot more concerned than I think a lot of other people.”

Part of the problem is the market’s excess liquidity, Maley said. Over the summer, that sideline money fueled the mega-cap tech rally; now that those stocks have stabilized, it’s driving bitcoin, he said.

“The problem is it’s now taken the weekly [relative strength] chart on bitcoin to a very, very high level,” he said.

“It’s above 88 [as of Thursday]. That’s not quite up to the 90 level that it reached twice in 2017, but those were followed by declines of 36% and 64%,” he said. “We’re not quite there yet, … but as the pandemic starts to fade a little bit [and] maybe that liquidity becomes a little less plentiful, this stock could get clobbered like it has many other times in the past.”

He noted that just

Subscribe to our Newsletter

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo.
Share on facebook
Share on google
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin